This will be my last post for 2025, so I want to revisit my last post from 2024, called "Year-End Predictions." Just for fun, I made three predictions about Follicular Lymphoma for 2025.
I'm guessing a lot of you saw the calendar turn to December a few weeks ago and thought, "I wonder how Lympho Bob's year-end predictions went? I've been dying to know if he was right, because he's always so right about everything!" Well, here we go. Your wish is about to come true.
My first prediction was "Tafasitamab won't be the 'game-changer' that the headlines predict it will." I was right about this.
At last year's (2024) ASH conference, there was a lot of excitement about Tafasitamab (also known as Monjuvi). Tafasitamab is a monoconal antibody, and the results of a stage 3 clinical trial were presented at ASH, where Tafasitamab was combined with R-Squared (Rituxan and Lenalidomide). I had written about it a few times after ASH. There were lots of commentaries that talked about how great the combination was, and how it would most likely mean Tafasitamab + R-Squared would become the default treatment for Relapsed/Refractory Follicular Lymphoma. That hasn't happened. As I wrote a year ago, it takes a lot to change an oncologist's habits, and unless there is a huge change in survival statistics, there will probably be some change, but not a lot of change. The "game-changer" headlines are often clickbait, getting people like me and the rest of you Cancer Nerds all excited and reading their articles. It seems like there is always some new great treatment that will change things for us. To be sure, treatments are getting better over time (the difference in the choices I had when I was diagnosed about 18 years ago, and those available now, is incredible.) But as I get older, I get more suspicious of news articles that are a little too excited about these things. Tafasitamab may end up being an important part of our treatment choices, but it isn't yet. It was approved by the EU a week ago, and by the Japanese health ministry about the same time.
My second prediction was "Epcoritamab will cause some concerns." Epcoritamab was another treatment that caused some excitement at the 2024 ASH conference. But it also caused some controversy. The effectiveness numbers were great, but the safety raised some questions. There were a few more deaths than were expected, but they were explained by the fact that the trial took place during the Covid pandemic, when some of the trial participants had lowered immunity. As I said in the post, "my gut tells me those concerns haven't been completely answered." Well, as you know if you've been reading lately, Epcoritamab was this year's darling at ASH, and the "game changer" language for Tafasitamab from last year was applied to Epcoritamab for this year. So I'm going to say I was wrong about this one. There were no new safety issues in the year that followed, and Epcoritamab might well be the great treatment that the headlines say it will be. I sure hope so -- the numbers are fantastic. But time will tell.
My third prediction was "There won't be any major changes to the FDA approval process." I'm thinking I'm right about this one, too. Last year, there was talk that the FDA might cut back on surrogate endpoints and focus more on Overall Survival. In other words, they would ask for more long-term data before making decisions, That didn't happen, but there was plenty of controversy at the FDA anyway. I won't get into it. If you live in the U.S. and you follow health news, then you know. There has been a change in leadership, some instability in key positions, and controversies in many areas of pubic health. I was hoping to find a link to an objective source that described the year that the FDA had, but I couldn't find one. I will say, despite the controversies, it doesn't seem to me that the oncology world was effected negatively by it. FL treatments were approved, and people remain excited. The approval process has been largely the same as it was before. We'll stay hopeful that it stays that way, and if it does change, it will be change for the good.
There are a couple of lessons here.
First, I'll say what I said last year when I made the predictions -- remember that I'm not an oncologist or a cancer biologist. When it comes to cancer advice, the best person to talk to is your own oncologist. It's fun to make predictions, but I'd never make a prediction that I thought would affect an individual's life. I wouldn't want that responsibility -- that's not fun. Sure, I got two right, but the one I got wrong, I got really wrong. If your oncologist is a Lymphoma specialist, ask them what gets them excited about Lymphoma research these days. Then watch their eyes get big and their voice get a little louder from excitement. That's the real fun.
The other lesson is a reminder that one year is not a lot of time when it comes to cancer research. We move forward, but in small steps -- rarely in giant leaps. And we don't know for a while just how big a leap it is. Best to enjoy the small victories when we get them, and hope they turn into something big.
I hope your 2025 finishes up wonderfully, and your 2026 brings you good health and happy times.
I'll be back next year. Still lots of small victories to write about.
Take care.